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Kosovo war and US intervention

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The reasons of the beginning of armed conflict in Yugoslavia. Investments into the destroyed economy. Updating of arms. Features NATO war against Yugoslavia. Diplomatic and political features. Technology of the ultimatum. Conclusions for the reasons.
Краткое сожержание материала:

Размещено на

Ministry of Education

Moldova State University

Final Paper

Kosovo war and US intervention

Written by

Pogonii Evghenii

Professor:

Octavian Ticu

Chiєinгu, 2014

Table of Contents

  • Introduction
  • Chapter I. The reasons of the beginning of armed conflict in Yugoslavia
  • 1.1 Euro destabilization
  • 1.2 Updating of the USA economy at the expense of currency expenses
  • 1.3 Investments into the destroyed economy
  • 1.4 Updating of arms
  • Chapter II. Features NATO war against Yugoslavia
  • 2.1 Diplomatic features. Technology of the ultimatum
  • 2.2 Political features
  • 2.3 Conclusions for the conflict reasons
  • Bibliography

Introduction

In 1997, a civil war between Kosovo and Serbia broke over Kosovo's independence. The Serbs, led by Slobodan Milosevic, had decided on a campaign of ethnic cleansing; to rid Kosovo of all Albanian Muslims. By 1998, the US and NATO stepped in to stop the genocide. This may have been the first time any nation had intervened to stop ethnic cleansing and succeeded. The US intervention prevented additional killing, but ethnic tensions still remain between Kosovars and Serbs.

The Federal Republic of Yugoslavia is most commonly known as Serbia and Montenegro. Within Serbia are two provinces, Kosovo and Vojvodina. In the late 1990's a civil war within Serbia broke out as Kosovo fought for its independence. At one point, Kosovo revolutionaries entertained the thought of merging with nearby Albania. However, Albania's government collapsed just before the real civil war broke out, and Kosovo settled for independence.

Chapter I. The reasons of the beginning of armed conflict in Yugoslavia

1.1 Euro destabilization

The main problem which was solved by the USA, beginning aggression against Yugoslavia, I was in the sphere of global finance and I consisted in destabilization of euro and an exception of possibility of its transformation into World War II reserve currency. Introduction of euro threatened with sharp reduction of world requirement for dollars at the expense of such main mechanisms, as:

change of structure of gold and foreign exchange reserves in favor of euro, planned in many countries of the world, including China;

Reduction of dollar reserves of the countries of the Eurozone;

Transfer to euro part of internal calculations of the countries of the Eurozone traditionally carried out in dollars

in the long term - transfer to cash euros part of cash dollar savings and current assets around the world Mass inflow of dollars to economy of the USA would lead in this case to its irreversible destabilization and degradation

Here pertinently to remember the categorical cases of some kind of blackmail which have been carried out in due time Chirac and Khrushchev, threatening to return the USA cash dollars in exchange for gold.

Analyzing influence of introduction of euro on a financial system of the USA in августе1998 years, domestic economic experts indicated the vital need for the USA of implementation of destabilization of economy of the third countries for increase from their party of demand for dollars and "absorptions" by them being released because of introduction of euro dollar weight. However possibilities of this mechanism initially were limited, and cost for its realization of v excessive. Intellectual and administrative advantage of the USA was shown that their experts and leaders could step over a framework of habitual representations for the solution of this problem.

At the end of 1998 they drew a conclusion that from euro rather destructive and painful war in Europe, being conducted with active participation of the European countries of NATO can provide the guaranteed protection of dollar against the competition only. War against Yugoslavia because of oppressions of Albanians to Kosovo and Hungarians in Vojvodina was recognized as the most effective. Humanitarian intensity and hundreds thousands refugees who were closely adjoining in the homeland to organized crime and a drug mafia, the center of long-term intensity in the center of Europe, considerable destructions and an ecological disaster, - all this reliably destabilized economy of Europe and limited the potential of euro for the next years to the status no more than regional currency.

Short-sightedness of the European countries can be justified - after all if the capitals of the USA act on the global financial markets, the continental capitals are closer to real sector and don't come off it absolutely, as their American partners. Therefore they really could not see consequences of the Yugoslavian war for euro, - but thus they counted on realization with its help of the specific.

The most evident manifestation of limitation of continental consciousness is the amazing level of carelessness shown at introduction of euro. So, domestic experts didn't manage to find direct signs of carrying out not that complex quantitative, but even the simple qualitative analysis of consequences of introduction of euro for the countries of the Eurozone and their external relations. Strictly speaking, emergence of a global financial contradiction of the Eurozone with the USA as a result of euro introduction, probably, in general seriously wasn't analyzed by the Eurozone countries. [1]

1.2 Updating of the USA economy at the expense of currency expenses

War in Yugoslavia allowed the USA to update economy and to lift its level concerning the countries of Europe at the expense of huge increase in the currency expenses spent for war. If to track courses of Eurocurrencies throughout winter, spring and summer of 1999, it is easy to notice a tendency to their falling.

I. e. if the European currencies are devaluated concerning US dollar, the European goods exported to America, become cheaper. The economy of the USA already received a gain more than 6%, and European remained at the same level. So Europe has nothing to sell, but there are a lot of things that it is possible to buy from the USA, and every day the goods imported from States become more expensive.

In other words, if on January 1, 1999 you bought 1 kg of gold approximately for 10141.00 USD, having sold it now, you will be able to gain only 9351.00 USD. Where the difference in 790.00 USD got to? [2]

1.3 Investments into the destroyed economy

The developed countries of Europe and the USA need object of large-scale and effective investment. This requirement amplifies, on the one hand, expansion of investment resources after reduction of internal bank reserves of the Eurozone, caused by transition to euro, and with another - reduction of the sphere of potential investment after destabilization of developing countries.

In these conditions realization new "the plan of Marshall" - large-scale investments in destroyed (that is ideally prepared for modernization) economy at complete political control and fabulous low cost of the qualified labor, is for the developed countries of Europe and the USA exclusively favorable prospect. And to realize the plan of Marshall in any country, it needs to be prepared as appropriate for it, and the mechanism of such preparation half a century was created by the USA - carpet bombings of Germany and Japan back. On this blazed way which has proved the historical expediency, modern Europe also moved - and voices about need new "the plan of Marshall" for post-war Yugoslavia already sound.

It is essentially important for understanding of modern policy of the USA nuance - for them the relations not alliance, but the global competition are primary. According to the provision of a super state they are inclined to consider the alliance relations mainly as the tool allowing them randomly and with impunity to infringe upon interests of the younger partners, ensuring, thus, unconditional advantage over them in the international competition. The infringement if it is carried out in the course of achievement of "the general tasks" is especially effective.

So, in the Yugoslavian conflict, the USA, continuously increasing blows, passed from destruction of easily restored information infrastructure to elimination much more capital-intensive transport, and then and even more expensive of power and municipal infrastructures that rejects Yugoslavia in a cave century and significantly reduces its post-war investment appeal, undermining thereby essential interests of the European part of aggressors.

Only costs of restoration of the Yugoslavian infrastructure at least by 10 times will exceed expenses of the USA on Kosovo war. Today the damage of Yugoslavia is estimated at 126 billion dollars. [8]

The most striking example of similar activity, along with purposeful decrease in post-war...

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